NASDAQ Composite — Tech & Growth Recession Indicator
Track the NASDAQ Composite index. Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, NASDAQ is highly sensitive to interest rates and often leads economic cycle turns.
Current Value
Trigger Level: >20% drawdown from peak = bear market
Historical Trend
AI Analysis
Today's NASDAQ Composite value is 26,402, remaining stable near its recent highs. Over the past 90 days, the index has shown a significant recovery from a low of 24,876.91 on July 29, climbing steadily to its current level, indicating a strong upward trend with only minor fluctuations. This trend suggests a reduced recession risk as the market is currently above its midpoint of 25,820.14 and has not approached the bear market threshold of a 20% drawdown from its peak.
What is the NASDAQ?
The NASDAQ Composite is a market-capitalization weighted index of over 3,000 stocks listed on the NASDAQ exchange, heavily weighted toward technology and growth companies.
Why It Matters for Recession Risk
NASDAQ is hyper-sensitive to interest rate expectations and risk appetite. Tech and growth stock selloffs often precede broader economic weakness as they signal reduced future growth expectations.
Historical Context
NASDAQ fell 78% during the dot-com bust (2000-2002), 56% during 2008, and 33% in 2022. Its recovery speed often signals the market's growth outlook.
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