NASDAQ Composite — Tech & Growth Recession Indicator
Track the NASDAQ Composite index. Tech-heavy and growth-oriented, NASDAQ is highly sensitive to interest rates and often leads economic cycle turns.
Current Value
Trigger Level: >20% drawdown from peak = bear market
Historical Trend
AI Analysis
Today's NASDAQ Composite value is 26,107, reflecting a recent recovery from a low of 25,476.64 on June 25, 2026, and a notable increase from 25,297.62 at the end of June. The index has shown a slight upward trend after a recent dip, indicating a potential reversal from the previous downward trajectory, although it remains below the recent peak of 27,086.81 reached on June 2, 2026. This trend suggests a reduced recession risk at present, as the index is currently above its mid-range value of 26,972.62 and has rebounded from lower levels, indicating resilience in the market. However, the proximity to the bear market threshold (>20% drawdown from peak) remains a concern, necessitating close monitoring of future movements.
What is the NASDAQ?
The NASDAQ Composite is a market-capitalization weighted index of over 3,000 stocks listed on the NASDAQ exchange, heavily weighted toward technology and growth companies.
Why It Matters for Recession Risk
NASDAQ is hyper-sensitive to interest rate expectations and risk appetite. Tech and growth stock selloffs often precede broader economic weakness as they signal reduced future growth expectations.
Historical Context
NASDAQ fell 78% during the dot-com bust (2000-2002), 56% during 2008, and 33% in 2022. Its recovery speed often signals the market's growth outlook.
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