Dow Jones Industrial Average — Blue-Chip Recession Gauge
Track the Dow Jones Industrial Average. This 30-stock blue-chip index signals broad industrial health and has historically preceded economic downturns.
Current Value
Trigger Level: >20% drawdown from peak = bear market
Historical Trend
AI Analysis
Today's value of the Dow Jones Industrial Average is 51,032, marking a significant rise from the low of 45,166.64 recorded on March 30, 2026. This upward trend has been consistent over the past two months, with a notable acceleration as the index has increased by approximately 12% since mid-April, indicating strong market momentum. The current trajectory suggests a low recession risk, as the index is near its highs and has not experienced a drawdown of more than 20% from its peak, which would signal a bear market. The sustained upward movement reinforces investor confidence and indicates economic resilience at this time.
What is the Dow Jones?
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index of 30 prominent US companies. It is one of the oldest and most-watched stock market indicators in the world.
Why It Matters for Recession Risk
As a barometer of industrial and blue-chip corporate health, DJIA declines signal weakening economic confidence. Its composition of mature companies makes it particularly relevant for assessing cyclical risk.
Historical Context
The DJIA fell below 7,000 during the 2008 crisis from a peak of 14,000. It crashed to 18,500 during COVID from 29,500. The index crossing 40,000 in 2024 represents a significant valuation milestone.
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