Recession Report
Every RecessionPulse article tagged “recession report” — sorted newest first.
Weekly Recession Report — April 26, 2026
Recession risk remains elevated but not imminent as the economy shows a split between healthy labor-market data and signs of late-cycle stress, including rising unemployment and consumer pessimism. While financial conditions are stable, the key concern is whether the softening labor market will lead to a self-reinforcing slowdown.
Weekly Recession Report — April 19, 2026
This week's recession risk report highlights a "late-cycle slowdown" with resilient labor market levels but deteriorating flow indicators and industrial activity. Despite healthy jobless claims and a benign market outlook, concerns grow over weak confidence and rising fiscal constraints, signaling a complex economic landscape.
Weekly Recession Report — April 12, 2026
This week's recession report indicates a "late-cycle slowdown" with elevated recession risks, as primary indicators remain mostly safe while labor and goods signals show concerning trends. Consumer sentiment has weakened amid geopolitical stress, suggesting the economy is losing altitude, with critical developments expected in the next 4–12 weeks.
Weekly Recession Report — April 5, 2026
The Weekly Recession Risk Report for April 5, 2026, indicates a **moderate** recession risk, with resilient labor markets and equity prices, yet several **late-cycle indicators** are signaling potential economic cooling. Despite a solid employment report showing **+178,000 jobs** added and a stable unemployment rate of **4.3%**, key metrics suggest a shift towards **weakening momentum** in certain sectors.
Weekly Recession Report — March 29, 2026
The Weekly Recession Report for the week of March 29, 2026, indicates a **mixed economic backdrop** with signs of **continued growth**, despite emerging **leading-cycle warnings** and a **bifurcated policy environment**. Key indicators show industrial production expanding, but risks from a declining temporary help sector and weak freight conditions suggest caution as the economy navigates potential late-cycle complacency.
Weekly Recession Report — March 22, 2026
The Weekly Recession Report for March 22, 2026, indicates a **moderate but rising** risk of recession in the U.S., with a labor market showing signs of cooling despite low jobless claims. Economic growth is near **stall speed**, inflation pressures are re-accelerating, and consumer confidence is weak, creating tension for potential Federal Reserve easing.
Weekly Recession Report — March 15, 2026
The latest Weekly Recession Report highlights a mixed economic landscape as the U.S. expansion persists, but recession risks are rising due to weakening indicators in the goods economy, temporary hiring, and household finances. While services activity and equity markets remain strong, caution is warranted as inflation pressures and geopolitical risks complicate the outlook for continued slow growth.
Weekly Recession Report — March 8, 2026
This week's Recession Risk Report indicates that while recession risk remains **contained**, it is **rising at the margins** due to mixed signals from hard activity data and emerging labor market cracks. Key indicators show a tension between a potential "soft landing" and signs of **below-trend growth**, highlighting the need for vigilance as household strain and goods-side weakness become more pronounced.
Weekly Recession Report — March 1, 2026
March's recession report highlights a complex economic landscape, where loose financial conditions and calm markets contrast with troubling real-economy indicators signaling elevated recession risks. While initial jobless claims remain low and credit spreads tight, concerns grow over deteriorating sectors and a potential economic slowdown, suggesting a delicate balance between continued growth and the threat of a downturn.